Montréal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks: game preview
Montréal left, Chicago right. 2026-27, leaning on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
Totals ↓Montréal favored at 55.7%
Montréal finished last season 6th in the league with 106 points. Chicago finished 31st with 72, and the 2025-26 season series went MTL 2-0-0.
With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Chicago at 44.3% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 33.5%.
Where the market disagrees with the table
Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.439 vs .646) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Chicago 10.8 points higher than last season's table does.
MethodMeeting number 661
Across 660 completed games, Montréal leads the head-to-head 418-216-26.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On Dec 22, 2023, Montréal was 18th in the league and Chicago 30th. By Dec 18, 2025 it was 11th and 28th.
Montréal has scored 3+ in 4 straight; Jacob Fowler has won 3 straight decisions
Active streaks for both teams and their players, entering this game.
Streak = games in a row entering this game (goalies count starts; skater streaks carry over from last season). In run = what the streak has produced. Tonight = the chance it goes on tonight, implied by the venue prices (average), where a venue prices it: a point, goal, assist or 2+ points, or the team win. Last 10 = the last 10 regular-season games, green when it counted. Every active streak: player streaks, team streaks.
Montréal out-attempted Chicago 322 to 265
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Montréal Canadiens
Chicago Blackhawks
Montréal has created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 9 games for Montréal, 9 for Chicago.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Montréal, 10 for Chicago.
2025-26: 82 games for Montréal, 82 for Chicago.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors canceled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Montréal
Chicago
Nick Suzuki has 8 points in the last 5 meetings
Each club's top three forwards and defensemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.
Nick Suzuki vs Chicago · game by game
See all: Nick Suzuki vs Chicago · game by game →Samuel Montembeault has started most of these meetings
Samuel Montembeault played 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago, with a .877 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.
2026-27: 4 GP · .900 SV% · GSAx +1.4
Also possible: Dobes 26% · Montembeault 15%
- Started 7 of 9 this season
- 56 of the team's last 82 starts
2026-27: 7 GP · .888 SV% · GSAx +0.3
Also possible: Soderblom 31%
Samuel Montembeault
See all: Samuel Montembeault →MTL · 10-8-4 in 2025-26 Chance to start · 15%
Also on the roster, 2026-27: Jakub Dobes .847 (5 GP) · Jacob Fowler .900 (4 GP)
Full game logChicago crease
CHI · 2026-27 Expected: Knight · 69%
Two goalies used against Montréal
A total in line with the numbers
Sportsbooks set the total at 6.5. Both teams' scoring rates point to 6.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 6.0 goals and went over 2 times.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, colored by the winner; the red mark is tonight's line of 6.5.
Scoring rates
Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
Montréal favored on both sides of the border
US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.
Moneyline by market
Snapshot Oct 22, 4:53 PM ET
Lines on the board
Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot Oct 23, 3:42 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Prediction markets price over 6.5 at 48%
Total goals, the spread and each team's total as the venues price them, next to a rate from both teams' scoring. A line shows when at least two venues price it.
Snapshot Oct 23, 3:42 AM ET. Each price is for the line as written: the other side (under, +1.5) costs about 100 minus it. "From stats" is a Poisson rate from each team's goals for and against per game (this season, leaning on 2025-26 for the first 20 games); it knows nothing about overtime, empty nets or tonight's lineups. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Cole Caufield is the likeliest to score a point, at 70%
What the venues price for individual players in this game, next to a rate from each player's scoring this season and last.
Snapshot Oct 23, 3:42 AM ET. "From stats" is a Poisson rate from his points, goals or assists per game over this season and last combined; it knows nothing about tonight's lineup. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
9 on the injury lists
Montréal · injuries
Chicago · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Recalled F Owen Beck from Laval (AHL).
Assigned D David Reinbacher and C Owen Beck to Laval (AHL).
Placed LW Florian Xhekaj on injured reserve.
Assigned C Dominic Toninato to Rockford (AHL).
Assigned F Nick Lardis to Rockford (AHL).
Placed G Sam Montembeault and F Oliver Kapanen on injured reserve.
Montréal · 2026 draft
See all: Montréal · 2026 draft →Chicago · 2026 draft
See all: Chicago · 2026 draft →Friday, October 23 · the full slate
See all: Friday, October 23 · the full slate →Updated after every final · Bookmaker odds captured Oct 22, 4:53 PM ET